1 Lotus Seelster
moved first up into a fast 3rd quarter (for this class) and was
rebuffed by the well meant easy winner. She didn't entirely fade, and
that was a decent first start for Moreau. I'm sure Fillion has learned
with her she needs to save some ground and energy for the one limited
move she appears to have. This field is not deep, and I will go to her
on top instead of the obvious second time starter.
Honey was solid in her first try with racehorses. She left
stayed in and waited until mid stretch, where she came out and was
clearly 2nd best but going forward. However, she had every chance to
slide out much earlier, and Randy chose to stay in longer. She has yet
to rough it and work for it, like most winners have to do. She figures
and will be a very short price here. I will call her for 2nd and go to
one who got a bad trip last time.
Mach is an aged mare with 2 lifetime wins, one of them being at
in straight nw2 last year. She has clearly hit a wall with those, but
luckily there is a shortage of horses this time of year, and maidens on
this night, so, she gets major class relief here. That doesn't make her
the winner here, as her current form is very poor and her overall time
isnt that much better than the better ones in this field. But, she has
won in 53, so she has a license to be rated higher than some others.
Minor shot on the variables.
6 Ok Jewel
gets out of nw2 and back in with maidens, which should be a big help to
one who has won twice, but only at B tracks. I'm still not thrilled
with her, as she looks like a one big move and done type. I will go to others who currently look better.
Heather Loves Ny doesn't appear to have much gate speed, and comes very
late. That gets her pieces, but she isn't live enough to pass them all
with one big move from far back. She also continually bears in the
entire mile, which compromises her momentum when she begins to build it.
I will go to others.
2 Kimberlys Baby
tried to leave last time but the hole wasn't there, so she took back
for a tuck and finished with pace up the pylons. She at least stayed at
it this time. I have to see more for the win slot to back her, but she
is possible to make the bottom of the ticket if one of me top 2 bomb out
for whatever reason.
5 Lady Sherri looks like a B track horse until she proves otherwise, which to this point, she has not.
3 Total Knockout
improved last week, and while you never know what you will get from
her, she is capable enough if she can hold that form. Kelly is not here,
so JJ takes over. Top call for a price.
Dismissed goes to Moreau off the claim and he jams her right
This is the fit for her class wise, but her slow starting, one big late
move style, while effective for her to be close, leaves her at the mercy
of the pace, which could be moderate here. First up didn't work out
well at all for her 3 back. I will call her 2nd, too late again.
Hope picks up Roy, so, that is an angle to consider here. He can wake
one up...and she needs to be woken up. She does just enough to be
dangerous but rarely enough to back that up with a win. Her win record
reflects that. I will call her on the bottom of the ticket.
Party got the right trip last time, getting out fast to the 2 hole, and
pulling that pocket before the leader stopped as the backfield was
moving up to close the lane. She did back up briefly on the turn, as she
is want to do, but once she straightens up, if she has not been used
hard, she will go forward at this level. I will play others. She doesn't
double up often.
righted the ship last time on the class dive and moves back up to face
tougher here. She is a player, but I like others who show more. I could
see adding her to the pick 5, but I will roll the dice against her.
4 Phoenician Gal
does not do enough for me when it matters. Bit player as a rule, and I
will stick with that assessment as I have for weeks until she proves me
wrong. So far, she has not.
1 Three Pink Bows does well at the B tracks, but the class rise at this track seems too much for her. Pass for me.
Rocket was raced easy by Hudon in his first start back at 3. He
obviously being aimed at the Sire Stakes, and will make what he can
until they start up. He drew poorly last week, but raced okay and
finished going forward, if not just steady. I will take a shot with him
on top for a likely big price. The talent looks to be there.
3 Man of
Destiny meets a similar bunch to last time, with a few different
As expected, he wasn't able to boss around more talented types when he
exited the maidens last time. He raced okay, but he will have to do more
here. I thought Per was protecting him the way he drove him, and Randy
did the same. They are telling you this horse needs some babying to be
viable. Until I see something to contradict that, I list him for 2nd, as
I can't find anything at all I like other than my top choice. He could
develop into a decent condition horse over time if he progresses, but it
looks like a gradual thing, not immediate.
5 Dear Dad
blasted out, daylighted a very bad field, and kept it together last
week to break his maiden. These are far tougher. He doesn't show me he
is ready to beat them. I will watch to see how he stacks up.
City Turbo was raced on 3 days rest and that didn't go well for him last
time. He finds it hard to win off any trip, but has improved. I suspect
he is looking at a claiming tag soon if he doesn't beat these. I like
others ahead of him tonight.
Asterix can leave fast, and goes as far as that will take him. Post 9
tonight, I would figure he is spent by the last turn if he tries to wire
Wonka won a grassroots for McIntosh last year, which is the bulk of what
he made, and otherwise made breaks. He was moved out of the barn and
now Keith Jones takes over. Jones is very capable with this type and
brings them along slowly. He needs a lot more speed to go with some of
these, and I will watch for that and how he travels in this, his first
1 Rose Run Reanna
gets a better post on start 2 back off the layoff. Her win record, and
in fact her overall record speak for themselves. I will wait to see a
2 Carmens Fluke made the races at 2,
bagged 18k for that achievement, and won at Buffalo. The reality is with
those, is that if you can race and behave, you make some money. He will
have to do a lot more at this track against others who race without
that protection. He has recently switched from Allard to Paul Cameron
and looks like a project horse. Pass for now.
8 Magic Missions is a 4yo with one lifetime win at Clinton. Post 8 tonight, he is hard to see as viable.
2 Red Dog Saloon
stayed in last week and was caught in heavy traffic. These are ripe to
be taken, and he has a shot to do that if he gets a similar trip to last
week but racing room materializes.
Emptythetill had the 10 hole last time, but raced well to be a decent
3rd. The winner was far beyond his and the rest of the fields reach, but
he seems to be around the money when the wire comes each time. I could
see him, like I could see many in here.
to Art broke his maiden off the shelf, as Wallace is known to
while he has missed 3 weeks, that wouldn't concern me with any Wallace
trainee. What does concern me is that he didn't perform well in nw2 off
the move up from the maiden. He made a big 3rd quarter move then, but
petered out when that bullet was fired. I think he is viable in the next
few starts, but if the more conservative approach is applied tonight,
with an eye to the future and his aspirations for the season, he comes
too late tonight. McNair and Wallace have a very high ROI together, much
of that due to Easy Lover Hanover, but not just a win record, actual
return, which indicates he is a good fit with all of his stock. Easy
Lover came from the same connections to these connections, and didn't
seem to wake up until McNair started driving him.
tried a very aggressive approach last week, and it cost him late. He
was certainly better than I thought he was going to be, and his leaving
ability, coupled with the better post makes him dangerous here. He would
do well to leave and follow a live helmet. If that happens, he has a
5 Blue Fox seems to like, and does his
best racing from well off the pace. No reason to change that here, and
if he finds a live flow, he is a contender. I went to others who will
bring a better price, as he is not that much better than them most
nights. He could make me pay for leaving him off.
Decked got the job done last time, but it wasn't pretty. Both Beyombo
and Undrafted raced okay but didn't do enough in their next start, and
I'm not that impressed with this horse. I think the move up to winners
stalls his progress.
7 Clouseau Hanover doesn't show me the finish he needs to take these down. Pass and watch for now.
8 Jrs Big Buddy
had every chance to win last week off a nice trip behind battling
leaders, came out around them and then opened up a bit, but was winded
late and picked up on the wire. That was his chance. This field is
tougher and deeper. Pass.
pass on this bunch. Good luck. Note that Joshua My Boy goes back to Allard, but not via a claim.
Dancer made a break in her lone start for a purse, but kept it
in both qualifiers. Being a Bax pupil, I will give her some slack and
call her for the win, with the obvious risk attached in this type of
8 Spot in
the Sun is very hard to like, but in terms of this field, not as hard as
some. She has some excuses, and has at least trotted clean a few times
and gone 2 minutes. I could make a very unconvincing case that she is
possible if 6 or 7 things go her way here.
9 Forte has been a
winter project for Per, and he might have him figured out. Being who he
is, and the suspect nature of this entire field, I'd expect him to take
big play from the 9 hole. There are still lots of ways this one can get
beat, and I will play for that chance.
1 Bustingattheseams didnt
make it at 2, and begins her career here. Post 1 for a green trotter, I
have to pass and watch. Randy would do well to get her around, lop some
time off and pick up money, going forward late.
Light still has no finish, and while she has more experience, very good
gate speed and has earned in this class, she has not won and has had
ample chance to do so. I will hang my hat on the suspect longshots in
2 Real World Goal kept
trotting last time, and as one of seven in that race, he got 4th ahead
of some who didn't behave and one that stopped and has a history of
doing that. I see no progress to suggest he can do more than that.
10 Royal Intrigue was a decent 3rd last time, but post 10 should negate the chance for even that here. Another day maybe.
3 Travel Lightly another that didn't make it at 2, and barely qualified last time. No thanks.
4 Queen Adjala is a 5yo with two career B track wins, coming off a layoff of 5 weeks. She will have to be seen.
6 For a Reason shows no speed to suggest she can keep up with whoever is the viable one in here.
2 On the Minute Mark
slid out in the lane and closed nicely to be a competitive 4th. I will
call her tonight with this weak group to get a more aggressive Trevor
steer and pull a minor upset. She is no cinch, but could be value if she
3 Queen Ideal got 2nd in the Town Pro
final, and that jumps off this page. She also has not raced since that
race, and that also gets your attention. I will have to see her parade.
Being that it is the first leg of the late pick 4, you get that look
before you have to place that wager. Otherwise, I have no clue, but am
inclined to think she can take these right off the shelf.
Shadows K never left the pylons from start to finish last time, but the
red sea parted and she just had to keep pacing to get 2nd, which to her
credit, she did. I will go to another here, but she is possible as she
is fairly consistent and a good fit for this class until the better ones
come out of hibernation.
6 Mia Oh
My made the lead from post 8 last week, had an easy lead but let the
favorite, and winner, go, followed her, but was gapping, and was
outpaced in the lane, barely holding 3rd under a lot of urging. I think
she has limited ability and while she is viable and has a shot, I like
others who show a bit more.
4 I Wish You Well
still does not impress me, and she will have to prove me wrong. She
doesn't do enough when it matters, no matter the trip she gets. Pass.
5 Alexas Luck
got the soft half last time, and that was all it took to step away in
the lane. We will have to see how she progresses now without maiden
protection. I cant see her doubling up on first asking with these.
1 A Mary
Can Sting has missed a month, was a vet scratch lame last week, and has
suspect Meadows form. I will have to see her once to see if she is
viable for next time. I doubt it.
pass on this group.
Bomber clearly lays over this field and will be 1-9 with a large
bridgejumper attached if they leave show betting up. He would have to be
horrid to get beat here.
2 New Standard does
not leave, even from good posts. That has been his history since day
one. In this smaller field, if he were to get away 4th or 5th, and move
at the right time, he can be 2nd best to the obvious winner on the page.
4 Twice Drafted tried
to wire a weak and light bunch, but the pocket sitter measured him and
easily floated by him late. He is progressing, but meets a bearcat in
the making tonight, and isn't a cinch for 2nd either.
1 Go Like a
Pro raced at 2, but clearly was not ready to. Big Bad John foals can
fool you, as you see many of them show you some talent, but not race up
to it. He is well short on time in this race, and lets see what he
brings to the table going forward for the weeks to come. He could easily
be a solid beat at London in the coming weeks.
looks like the second rung of this field, but can bag 4th if things go
right. He has 3 lifetime wins but gets in with maidens, although most
are not actually maidens.
7 Sedona Seelster closed
with the pack on Monday to get 5th money, but that appears to be the
best he can do at this track. He could end up winning a lot of races at
KD this summer, and that is probably why he is being kept around.
3 Lyons Delight shows me nothing to suggest he competes with these.
drops down in class and looks very tough on the page, picking up Trevor
and pacing in 52 or faster every week. Horses like this seem to get
beat a lot in classes like this, but he is hard to go against. The scratch of Mach Messier gives him a better chance of control, but also a chance he gets trapped in if Mac Raider now gets to cut it. Lukewarm top call and the price is likely to be short.
7 Luke and
Duke won this class 3 back and McNair seems to know what makes him
tick. He will need some battling up front, which he is likely to get,
and some outer flow to progress with, which is possible. He has a shot
to make it happen if the lane he is in carries him to the right spot.
2 K D Overdrive
was up late for 3rd last time, but no threat to the top 2. He has
improved a bit, but not enough for me to go to him for the win.
Raider was involved in some speed battling last time and he gave it up
late. He has competition again for that type of trip. I go to others. He
needs the trip to be in his favor, and I don't see that working out for
Petes Style is one post really hurts and he drew that short straw
tonight. He could be 4th or 5th, but I cant rate him higher.
starts very slowly, unless you gas him out of there, which Zeron tried a
few times and he stopped to a walk. So, he is the one trick pony now,
and that results in his poor win record now that he is away from the
conditioned claimers. Post 9, even farther back at the start. Pass.
4 Print Media
showed flashes of decent ability at 2 and 3, but even then, he didn't
bring it week to week, and he has continued to be that type. I'm just
not impressed with him when there are some other okay ones in here, and
he would need some grit to take them down, something he rarely shows.
5 Terra Cotta Lad
is not one I can see with the class he brings to the table and lack of
speed he has shown in the recent past. Dover is a highway, and he paced
that in 54. That isn't enough for me to think he takes down pacers
pacing in the 52 or 53 range currently.
8 A and C Artist
ships in looking to upset the apple cart as he did last time he was
here, in this class as well. He made a break on Sunday night at Rideau,
and that is not good form to show up with here. I will stay away from